
THIS WEEK'S HOT TOPIC
The NFT market was dealt another critical blow last week when one of its signature platforms, Nifty Gateway, announced plans to cease operations this year.
The popular NFT marketplace was launched by twins Duncan and Griffin Cock Foster in 2018, then acquired a year later by Gemini, a cryptocurrency exchange founded by a separate set of tech twins: Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss. The platform hit a new level of notoriety in April of 2021, when it partnered with Sotheby’s to sell $17m worth of NFTs by the digital artist Pak, capping a 12-month period during which the company reported $300m in Gross Merchandise Value.
But much has happened since then. Nifty Gateway’s website, a once-bustling hub of NFT sales, now comprises just a single black-and-white page with a sobering message at the top: “Nifty Gateway platform will be closing on April 23, 2026 and has entered withdrawal-only mode. Please withdraw your assets by this date.”
The news of Nifty Gateway’s collapse epitomizes just how far the market for NFTs has fallen since its peak in the lockdown years of 2021 and 2022.
Back then, “non-fungible tokens, or digital artworks verified on a blockchain, were being swapped for hundreds of thousands of dollars in cryptocurrency. Artists made them. Celebrities flaunted them. Auction houses parlayed the craze into big business, with Christie’s selling one—Beeple‘s The First 5000 Days—for a whopping $69.3 million in 2021.
Now, due to a staggering discrepancy between supply (huge) and demand (little), reports suggest that as much as 95% of NFTs are worth nothing.
Will the NFT market ever return to health? Outlook not so good.
3…THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT BUYING ART ONLINE
1
When browsing online marketplaces for an artist’s work, one of the best ways to stay informed is to set up alerts for upcoming auctions. Platforms like Arthur Analytics, LiveAuctioneers, and MutualArt aggregate sales from auction houses around the world and allow you to follow specific artists, sending notifications when their works are coming up for bidding. The major houses (Christie’s, Sotheby’s, and Phillips) aren’t the only places where strong examples surface. Smaller houses like Heritage, Bonhams, and Swann, along with regional auction houses in the U.S. and abroad, often have excellent works on offer—and occasionally at prices that feel refreshingly uncompetitive.
2
If you’re researching an artist, online art marketplaces like Artsy or Platform can offer valuable insight into pricing and availability. (The Baer Faxt newsletter also includes price ranges for new artist representations.) Artsy, in particular, works largely on behalf of the collector: it broadcasts gallery inventories and clearly labels what’s sold and what remains available—information that galleries typically keep close to the chest. Used thoughtfully, this transparency can be helpful. If you’re interested in a specific work and notice multiple comparable pieces still available, that context can support a polite conversation around price. These platforms also function as an easy introduction to a gallery’s program. Sending a message of interest or requesting a viewing is no different from reaching out by email.
3
Online auctions can be a great place to find strong work at accessible prices, but timing matters. Always plan to bid live. Last-minute “sniping” is largely a thing of the past thanks to “popcorn bidding,” a system that extends the auction by several minutes if a bid is placed near the close. While early bidding can set a tone, serious bids tend to come in closer to the end of the sale. Low numbers days in advance aren’t necessarily indicative of final prices, and patience and attentiveness are often rewarded.
A NUMBER TO KNOW
-97.6%
The decline in the average sale price of a Bored Ape Yacht Club NFT since the series's lifetime peak, per data from crypto analytics platform DappRadar. BAYC tokens hit a mean price of more than $571,000 on April 1, 2022; as of last Thursday (January 29), the same metric had plunged to just $13,500.
Although BAYC wasn’t the first PFP (“profile pic”) project to soar to blue-chip prices on the secondary market—that distinction probably belongs to the CryptoPunks—the steep decline in demand for these 10,000 cartoon apes is still one of the best present-day indicators of how far the broader NFT market has fallen.
Their collapse in price is only one part of the story. Only a few years ago, the most prestigious auction houses in the world were not only offering BAYC tokens but also being handsomely rewarded for it. Christie’s sold a trio of them for £982,500 (with fees)—around $1.3m at the time—in an October 2021 evening sale in London. Sotheby’s made $24.4m (with fees) on a single lot of 101 apes and digital accoutrements in an online auction one month earlier. (Please don’t ask me, a grizzled veteran of NFT reportage, to explain the actual function or momentary allure of the six “mutant serums” included in the package. You just had to be there.)
The heady days of six- or seven-figure deals and legacy art market buy-in are long gone now, and there’s little reason to believe they’ll ever come back. But hey, at least $13,500 is better than the current average sale price of a lot of other once-hot NFT series: a big fat zero.
—Tim Schneider / The Gray Market
ASK: ACCESS SOPHISTICATED KNOWLEDGE
A student from the Courtauld Institute of Art ASKed: What would you recommend for artists who are trying to navigate the art world on their own without any industry support?
Josh Baer for NoReserve: I would tell them not to go to art school and come out with hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt that they can't get back. Friends of mine teach at Columbia and they can't believe their grad students are paying [that much]. The system is broken. What young artists have to do is create their own ecosystem—hanging out at bars, going to each other's studios. The best way to get represented by a gallery is through another artist. If it was my gallery and one of my artists said, ‘Look at this person,’ I'd look because they have a stake in it being good.
There are new ways of doing it. I'm not sure the tried and true, Yale to MFA show to Chelsea path works as well in a down market where people are a little more conservative. For some people it's networking. Some people are good at that, but not everybody. If you're a quiet intellectual, you have to figure out a different way. How do I get curators to see my stuff? How do I get young writers to look? How do I get other artists to come? If I was an artist, I'd rent a place in Chelsea for a week, a storefront that's empty, and just put my stuff up there. I would be thinking more about guerrilla strategies like that—more independent things to get out there and make it easy for people to see the art.
Have your own question for the NoReserve team? Reply to this email or reach out to us on Instagram, @no.reserve. Readers whose submissions we choose get a special prize—six free months of The Baer Faxt.
2 MINUTES WITH…
After amassing a world-class collection of art that spans centuries, patrons J. Tomilson (Tom) and Janine Hill opened the Hill Art Foundation in New York in 2019 to share their treasures with the world. We sat down with Tom in 2022 to discuss his journey as a collector and the role the foundation plays in the community. Watch a snippet below, or head ➡️ here to watch the full interview
NR+
We’re currently on the ground in Doha for the inaugural edition of Art Basel Qatar. Later this week, The Baer Faxt Live will return with insights from esteemed guests at The Ned Doha. Tune in to the @baerfaxt Instagram on Friday, February 6th, at 11am to join the conversation.
WANT MORE?
Head to our subscriptions page to find out more about The Baer Faxt, our premium newsletter for art market professionals and collectors, plus our expanded platform of digital content, art advisory, and auction database services.
Forwarded this email and not a subscriber to NoReserve? Sign up today—it’s free!

